Exploring The Minor Forex Pairs: EUR/PLN
Friday, September 16th, 2011With an increasing amount of retail forex providers out there – such as financial betting companies to CFD providers – trading the forex markets looks set to continue its rise in popularity.
It’s usually the major forex pairs that steal all the headlines but there are many opportunities to be found on some of the world’s so called minor currencies.
Let’s discover some of the factors that are influencing the euro (EUR) and the Polish zloty (PLN) at the moment.
You’d have to have been asleep on Mars to escape all the media attention attracted by the recent sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone. Indeed, as the cracks have grown wider between the member countries of the single currency eurozone politicians have started the search for ways to create common bonds – quite literally in some cases.
Meanwhile, Poland is the only country in the EU that has maintained positive GDP growth throughout the global economic downturn seen in 2008 and 2009. The Polish economy is expected to be in positive territory this year too, with an impressive 4% growth predicted thanks to the continuing strength of demand for its goods domestically and from the eurozone – especially Germany.
However, France and Germany’s recent flat economic growth figures for the second quarter have served as another reminder that these are still very uncertain times.
According to Bloomberg, the European Central Bank spent a record €15-20 billion on government bonds during the latest eurozone debt crisis, which threatened Italy and Spain this time. Giulio Tremonti, Italy’s finance minister, was the latest high profile politician to call for the eurozone to adopt a common eurobond – an idea not agreed with by France’s president Sarkozy and Germany’s chancellor Merkel who have their own political problems to deal with.
The two leaders, in their recent meeting and subsequent media conference, stressed the need for a ‘step-by-step’ programme toward greater fiscal integration starting with twice-yearly meetings of all the heads of the eurozone.
Initial reaction within the financial community has been mixed.
It seems that the financial community were looking for more cohesive and concrete plans to help them map the way forward toward a more fiscally aligned eurozone.
Looking longer term, Poland will be hoping for a stronger, wiser eurozone to emerge triumphant from the ashes of its recent crisis, and, on the domestic front, that it can find the investment required to modernise its road and rail network to secure further future economic growth.
If you have knowledge of one major currency you’ll likely find many similarities in the economic factors that will influence its relationship with other minor currencies.



